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Commentaar over de markt (Chicago) van: 07-mrt-2024

CBOT wheat futures ended mixed on Thursday with the benchmark May contract tumbling to a life-of-contract low late in the session, losing ground relative to corn and Kansas City wheat futures on inter-market spreads. Futures were pressured by news that China canceled a purchase of 130.000 tonnes of US soft red winter wheat for 2023/24 delivery, and Egypt canceled an international wheat purchase tender. Funds bought 500 contracts. Weekly export sales of US wheat at 271.000 tonnes were towards the low end of trade expectations for 250.000 to 550.000 tonnes.

CBOT corn futures jumped more than 2 percent on Thursday on technical buying and short-covering a day ahead of a monthly supply/demand report due from the USDA. Traders continue to square positions ahead of the Friday’s USDA report, in which analysts expect the government to trim its estimate of Brazil’s corn and soybean crop. Analysts surveyed by Reuters on average also expect the USDA to trim its forecasts of 2023/24 US and world corn ending stocks. Funds bought 6.000 contracts. Weekly export sales of US corn were, with 1,11 million tonnes, in line with trade forecasts that ranged from 0,8 to 1,4 million tonnes.

ICE canola futures rose on Thursday, lifted by surging soy prices and speculator buying. Commercial buying from Canadian farmers is accelerating ahead of warmer spring weather when there are trucking restrictions on some roads, a trader said. Commercial hedges on those cash purchases are keeping canola’s gains in check, the trader said. Most-active May canola gained $ 6,50 to settle at $ 605,40 per tonne.

CBOT soybean futures hit a two-week high on Thursday, buoyed by strong weekly export data and position-squaring a day ahead of USDA’s report. Analysts surveyed by Reuters on average expect the USDA to trim its forecast of 2023/24 world soybean ending stocks, while raising its US soybean stocks view. The Buenos Aires grains exchange said on Thursday 80 percent of Argentine soybean fields are in “normal to excellent” condition, thanks to recent rainfall over northern parts of the South American country. The exchange believes this season’s crop will hit 52,5 million tonnes, the highest figure in five years. Funds bought 5.000 contracts of soybeans, 1.500 contracts of soymeal and 3.500 contracts of soyoil. Weekly export sales of US soybeans at 614.000 tonnes were topping trade estimates for 175.000 to 600.000 tonnes. During the first two months of this year China imported about 13 million tonnes of soybeans, versus 14,4 million tonnes in the same period last year. Crude oil fell by 20 cents to $ 78,93.

Bron: Stigevo

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